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BACHHIESL, U., KORDASCH, N.
Development Scenarios for E-Mobility in Europe
KOMUNALNA ENERGETIKA / POWER ENGINERING, 73
This paper presents development scenarios for e-mobility in Europe. The analysis of the initial situation shows, that key factors such as climate change or dependence on oil in the mobility sector call for a promotion of e-mobility globally and in Europe. This development is influenced by given targets in the European Union regarding alternative mobility. Furthermore, the fundamental aspects of e-mobility like the advantages and disadvantages or the different types of vehicles are introduced. With the help of recent sales numbers the European EV market has been divided into battery electric vehicles (BEV) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEV) and has been analysed in detail for each country for the years 2011 to 2015. Based on this data, an in-depth research on the countries’ promotion and support measures regarding e-mobility has been conducted. The global e-mobility targets (IEA2DS, IEA4DS, Paris Declaration) are converted into European targets and in relation to these targets three different scenarios (LOW, MEDIUM and HIGH) have been developed. These scenarios describe the growth of the EV market from 2016 to 2030 and are based on the actual numbers of EV. In addition, by using predefined average values for the EV the power consumption of the EV has been calculated and put in relation to the overall power consumption of the countries for every year until 2030. Concluding a summary of the present supporting measures of the investigated European countries for EV will be given in this paper.
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